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Mares on Monday: Last Tango in Texas

1/30/2023

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​Back in April 2022, Scarlet Fusion went through the Keeneland Horses of Racing Age sale, where Carl Moore and Brad Grady bought the 4-year-old son of Curlin for US$110,000. On January 28, 2023, Scarlet Fusion showed what he has learned under the patient tutelage of trainer Joe Sharp—and also what his connections have learned about him. Sent after Sam Houston Race Park’s John B. Connally Turf Cup Stakes (USA-G3) at a mile and one-half on soft turf, the horse responded well to being ridden along during the early going and still had more than enough in the tank to run down Another Mystery and Spooky Channel in deep stretch. For his effort, he earned his first stakes win and a purse of US$115,200.

Scarlet Fusion is the last foal and last runner for his dam Scarlet Tango, who emerged from a nice regional family in Maryland and, without much fanfare, put together a broodmare career that would be the envy of many a mare with a better race record and a bluer-blooded pedigree. Foaled in 1998, she was sired by 1995 Jerome Handicap (USA-G2) winner French Deputy, a good sire son of Deputy Minister, out of Silver Tango, a mare that was Grade 3-placed and a nine-time winner of black-type stakes races on the Mid-Atlantic circuit. A half sister to restricted stakes winner Sentimental Tango (by Sentimental Slew), Silver Tango is, in turn, by 1976 Fayette Handicap winner Silver Badge out of the winning Princely Pleasure mare Royal Tango.

A half sister to restricted stakes winners Dale’s Prospect (by Pioneering) and Our Commander (by Tenpins), Scarlet Tango finished second in the Laura Gal Stakes at Laurel as a 2-year-old and won four times from 18 starts. Her first mating was to perennial Maryland leading sire Not for Love in 2003, producing a winning filly named Scarlet Love. She next went to Grand Slam and hit the jackpot with Visionaire, the winner of the 2008 NetJets King’s Bishop Stakes (USA-G1) and Gotham Stakes (USA-G3). A handsome, muscular chestnut, Visionaire stood one season at Crestwood Farm in Kentucky and then was exported to South Africa, where he was champion freshman sire in 2015. His nine stakes winners include South African Group 1 winners Good Traveller and Takingthepeace.

After producing three foals of no significance, Scarlet Tango produced a full sister to Visionaire, the winning 2009 filly Zaharias, who is the dam of 2021 Dixie Belle Stakes winner Windmill (by Street Sense). Zaharias was followed by the 2010 Smart Strike filly Scarlet Strike, who won the 2013 Providencia Stakes (USA-G3) and was Grade 1-placed three times. Scarlet Strike is the dam of 2021 Supreme Stakes (ENG-G3) winner Toro Strike (by Toronado) and has a 2021 filly by Constitution and a 2022 filly by Candy Ride as her most recent foals.

Scarlet Tango was barren in 2011 but got right back into the groove in 2012, producing Tara’s Tango to a cover by Unbridled’s Song. Grade 2-placed as a 3-year-old, Tara’s Tango put it all together at 4, winning the 2016 Santa Margarita Stakes (USA-G1), Santa Maria Stakes (USA-G2), and Rancho Bernardo Handicap (USA-G3). She has gotten her broodmare career off to a good start, producing 2022 New Kent County Virginia Derby (USA-G3) winner Capensis (by Tapit) as her second foal. A 2020 colt by Curlin was never named, and the mare’s most recent foal is Mount Fuji, a 2021 colt by Quality Road.

Madison’s Luna, a 2015 Tapit gelding, became Scarlet Tango’s fourth graded stakes winner when he won the 2018 Hutcheson Stakes (USA-G3). She produced one more foal, the winning Speightstown gelding Philosophy, before coming up with Scarlet Fusion at the age of 20. The mare died not long afterward, leaving her legacy in her daughters and one remaining ungelded son, who appears to be coming into his own but is not likely to be appealing to the American stallion market even if he continues moving up the class scale. Half a century from now, we will have a better idea of Scarlet Tango’s full importance; in the meantime; there is still one more tango left to enjoy as Scarlet Fusion continues his racing career.
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Mares on Monday: The Alys Look Fires a Silver Bullet

1/23/2023

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​On January 21 at the Fair Grounds, the story was supposed to be about stakes winner and Darley Alcidiabes Stakes (USA-G1) winner Chop Chop’s return in the Silverbulletday Stakes Presented by Fasig-Tipton (USA-L). Instead, her stablemate The Alys Look posted a mild upset, turning back Chop Chop’s bid to win by a length. With her victory, Ike and Dawn Thrash’s filly picked up 20 points on the Road to the Longines Kentucky Oaks (USA-G1), good enough for second on the leaderboard behind Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Fillies (USA-G1) winner Wonder Wheel.

By this time, it is pretty obvious that The Alys Look likes the Fair Grounds track, where she broke her maiden on December 1 at the same distance as the Silverbulletday, a mile and 70 yards. In her next outing, she came from well off the pace to finish second in the Untapable Stakes over the same course and distance. There are now two questions concerning her as a potential Kentucky Oaks candidate: whether she can transfer her Fair Grounds form elsewhere, and whether she has room for further improvement.

Given that The Alys Look and Chop Chop both reached the mile in an uninspiring 1:39.13 and that The Alys Look was drifting out when she passed the wire in 1:43.55, improvement is going to be needed for both fillies if either is to be in contention for the lilies. Chop Chop, at least, probably needed the race, as she was making her first start of the year. The Alys Look, on the other hand, was unquestionably fit and has shown some nice improvement over the winter..

Connect, the sire of The Alys Look, scored his signature win in the 2016 Cigar Mile Handicap (USA-G1) and also picked up wins in the 2016 Pennsylvania Derby (USA-G2), beating a field that included Gun Runner, Nyquist, and Exaggerator, and in the 2017 Westchester Stakes (USA-G3). He won six of his eight starts, and his only finish out of the money was when he ran sixth behind Arrogate in the 2016 Travers Stakes, coming out of the race with a lung infection. Unfortunately, he came up with an injury following his season-opening win in the Westchester and was retired. The impression he left was of a high-class horse who was still maturing and could have made a very good 4-year-old.

On the other side of the pedigree, The Alys Look descends from a family that has had good opportunities with mixed results. She is the second foal of her dam Foul Play (by Harlan’s Holiday), whose first foal is an unplaced 2019 filly by Street Boss, Leave It Be. The mare’s only other produce is a 2021 filly by Mr. Speaker. Foul Play is a winner of one of her six starts and is a full sister to Stormy Holiday, a gelding that ran third in the 2013 Bachelor Stakes at Oaklawn Park. She is also is a half sister to Grade 2-placed Top of Mind (by Curlin) and one other stakes-placed runner.

Foul Play is out of the Thunder Gulch mare Over the Edge, whose best performance came in winning the 2007 Cincinnati Trophy Stakes at Turfway Park. A half sister to In Kelly’s Defense (by First Defence), whose gelded son It’s a Wrap (by Twirling Candy) won the restricted Evangeline Mile Stakes in 2021, Over the Edge is one of four winners out of the winning Storm Cat mare Cyber Cat, whose Silver Deputy half brother Mr. Jester won the 2003 Kentucky Cup Juvenile Stakes (USA-G3). The next dam, Future Pretense (by Fappiano), ran second in the 1993 Coaching Club American Oaks (USA-G1) and Alabama Stakes (USA-G1) and is a half sister to listed stakes winner Kafiristan (by Key to the Mint). As Foul Play, Over the Edge, and Cyber Cat all made seven or fewer starts, there is reason to question whether they had reached their full racing potential prior to retirement, but there is also reason to be concerned about durability.

The Alys Look is most likely to make her next appearance in the Fair Grounds Oaks (USA-G2), bypassing the Rachel Alexandra Stakes (USA-G2). A larger and better field and another forty yards of distance should help determine whether or not she is a nice filly who is moving forward at the right time and developing into a legitimate Kentucky Oaks contender.
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Mares on Monday: Occult Finds Magic in Busanda Stakes

1/16/2023

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​This year, the New York road to the Longines Kentucky Oaks (USA-G1) kicked off on January 14 with the nine-furlong Busanda Stakes, a listed event on Aqueduct’s main track. The winner was Occult, a filly bred by venerable horseman Peter Blum and racing for Alpha Delta Stables. She picked up 20 points toward an Oaks starting berth with a handy victory by 3¾ lengths over Gambling Girl. The only flaw in an otherwise smooth, professional performance was that Occult started drifting out in the stretch, though more in a manner that suggested she was losing mental focus rather than getting leg-weary.

Only five fillies started in the Busanda, and neither the field—headed by Affirmative Lady, second in last fall’s Demoiselle Stakes (USA-G2), and Gambling Girl, third in the same race after winning a New York-bred stakes—nor the final time of 1:54.78 were impressive; even allowing for the slow early pace set by Sweetest Princess, Occult still took 0:40.56 to negotiate the final three furlongs. Off that form, she will have some serious catching up to do in order to join the top tier of Oaks contenders. On pedigree, though, she is a nice prospect and may have the potential for the needed improvement.

Sired by four-time American champion sire Into Mischief, Occult traces back to the good broodmare Mono. A daughter of the good stakes winner Better Self (by two-time American champion Bimelech) out of a full sister to 1946 Triple Crown winner and Horse of the Year Assault, Mono showed none of the talent of her illustrious “uncle” and managed to win only one of her 14 starts. Her broodmare record was much better as she produced 12 winners from 14 foals, among them 1981 Donald P. Ross Handicap (USA-G3) winner A Sure Hit (by Ack Ack) and multiple stakes winners Channing Road (by Kentucky Pride) and Rare Performer (by Mr. Prospector). Mono is also the dam of La Finale (by In Reality), dam of 1997 Astarita Stakes (USA-G2) winner Ninth Inning (by Meadowlake) and restricted stakes winner Karakorum Katie (by Pure Prize).

Mine Only, a full sister to Rare Performer, won only once from eight tries but, like her dam, greatly improved on her race record as a broodmare. From 12 foals, she produced 1991 Early Times Manhattan Handicap (USA-G2) winner Academy Award (by Secretariat), 1991 Miss Grillo Stakes (USA-G3) winner Good Mood (by Devil’s Bag), and 1993 Nijana Stakes (USA-G3) winner Statuette (by Pancho Villa). The last-named mare produced Group 1-placed listed stakes winner Tomahawk (by Seattle Slew), the highweighted Irish 2-year-old male of 2002, and Mine Only is also the dam of Academy Award’s full sister Chosen Lady, dam of 1998 Ashland Stakes (USA-G1) winner Well Chosen (by Deputy Minister) and 1996 Cherry Hill Mile Stakes (USA-G3) winner In Contention (by Devil’s Bag) and second dam of two-time Sword Dancer Invitational Stakes (USA-G1) winner Telling (by A.P. Indy) and multiple Grade 3 winner Multiple Choice (by Mt. Livermore).

Good Mood is one of three other stakes-producing daughters of Mine Only, accounting for stakes winner Grand Royale (by Danzig), but more was expected from her given her race record, pedigree, and opportunities. As is often the case when a good race mare has a slew of well-bred daughters, several of Good Mood’s daughters have come up with good runners, most notably Business Plan (by Deputy Minister), whose son Golden Ticket (by Speightstown) dead-heated with Alpha for the 2012 Travers Stakes (USA-G1). Good Mood is also the dam of Attitude (by Capote), dam of restricted stakes winner Sterling Outlook (by Eurosilver), and of Magical Mood (by Forestry), whose daughter Magical Feeling (by Empire Maker) won the 2012 Barbara Fritchie Handicap (USA-G2) before producing Occult and stakes winners Exulting (by Tapit) and Magical (by Tapit). Magical Feeling’s most recent produce is Imagination, a 2-year-old full brother to Occult, and she is expecting a 2023 foal by Gun Runner.

Overall, the record of Mono’s family, while commendable, has not been top-drawer, and this female line has not produced anything close to Assault’s ability and consistency in the decades since. The likeliest forecast for Occult is that she will turn out to be a nice performer without ever approaching the top of her crop, but several members of her family have turned in surprising performances during the years, and it is always possible that Occult will find her own magic on the first Friday in May. Stranger things have happened.
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Mares on Monday: A Reincarnation of Admiral's Belle's Best?

1/9/2023

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​Reincarnate went off at the longest odds of any of Bob Baffert’s trio of entries in the Sham Stakes (USA-G3), but he was money in the bank at the end of the one-mile trip. Moving up in class from a maiden victory over the same distance at the Del Mar meeting, the son of 2017 American champion 2-year-old male Good Magic held off a strong challenge by stablemate Newgate to win by a neck with favored National Treasure another three-quarters of a length back. The victory confirmed the colt’s apparent improvement after switching from turf to dirt and marked him as a possible contender for the Triple Crown events.

Reincarnate’s family is no stranger to Classic success, though one does have to go back a bit to find the link. The colt is a fifth-generation descendant of Admiral’s Belle, a War Admiral mare whose first foal was 1959 Preakness Stakes winner Royal Orbit (by Royal Charger). Produced from 1940 New Zealand Oaks winner Belle Cane and, thus, a half sister to 1949 Santa Margarita Handicap winner Lurline B. (a high-class broodmare with four good stakes winners to her credit), Admiral’s Belle stands at the head of a family that has managed to maintain a decent record despite often receiving only moderate opportunities.

Royal Orbit was Admiral’s Belle’s only stakes winner, but five of her daughters had some importance as broodmares. Klondike Annie (by Arctic Prince) is the dam of multiple Canadian stakes winner Yukon Eric (by Tudor Minstrel) and the third dam of 1987 Indian Oaks winner Slipstream; Taratan (by Summer Tan) is the dam of 1980 Round Table Handicap (USA-G3) winner The Messanger (by Big Spruce) and stakes winner More Than Intended (by Laomedonte); Timalin (by Court Martial) is the second dam of multiple Grade 3 winners Raise Your Skirts and Coastal Voyage and the third dam of four-time German champion sire Big Shuffle, a multiple Group 3 winner, as well as 1989 E.B.F. Meld Stakes (IRE-G3) winner Slender Style and 1994 Ancient Title Breeders’ Cup Handicap (USA-G3) Saratoga Gambler; and Lady Bellaston (by Tudor Minstrel) is the third dam of 1991 Illinois Derby (USA-G2) winner Richman and 1993 Shoemaker Handicap (USA-G2) winner Journalism.

Corner Table, Admiral’s Belle’s 1969 filly by Sword Dancer, failed to win or place in six starts but produced Fling Ding (by Jungle Savage), a winner of four minor stakes races and the dam of four minor stakes winners. She is also the dam of Stubborn Star (by 1983 Metropolitan Handicap, USA-G1, winner Star Choice), a filly that never raced but produced listed juvenile stakes winner Dixie Two Star (by Dixie Brass) and multiple restricted stakes winner Winning Agenda (by Twilight Agenda). The last-named mare is the dam of Zeide Isaac (by Freud), a multiple Group 2 winner and two-time champion in Peru. Stubborn Star’s other foals include Bold Genius (by Beau Genius), dam of stakes winner Loan Me a Fen (by Fenter); Bloomin Genius (by Beau Genius), dam of Grade 3-placed stakes winner Mavoreen (by Sir Cat); and Star in the Corner (by Holy Bull), whose stakes-winning daughter Allanah (by Scat Daddy) produced Reincarnate as her fourth named foal. Allanah has since produced a 2021 colt by Goldencents and a 2022 colt by Liam’s Map.

Like Baffert’s other horses, Reincarnate does face the complication of Baffert’s ongoing suspension at Churchill Downs, which means that he did not pick up the 10 points toward a Kentucky Derby Presented by Woodford Reserve (USA-G1) starting spot that he would ordinarily have gained by winning the Sham. He could still be considered for the Preakness, however, and as Baffert’s suspension with the New York Racing Association runs out on January 25, the Belmont could be a possibility as well. The question is whether he will improve to the level of a Royal Orbit as he continues to develop and mature. Time will tell.
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Mares on Monday: Mama Lili Proves One Bad Mama in Las Oaks

1/2/2023

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​On December 30, Chile’s Santiago track hosted the last Classic race of the year for Western Hemisphere 3-year-olds in the Premio Las Oaks Fasig-Tipton (CHI-G1). The winner was Stud Doña Eliana’s Mama Lili, who led a sweep of the first four slots for her sire, Irish-bred Ivan Denisovich (by Danehill). Now the winner of five of her six starts, Mama Lili suffered her only defeat when 11th in the Polla de Potrancas (CHI-G1) but has two Group 3 wins in addition to her Classic score and has earned black type over distances from 1600 meters (the “metric mile”) to 2000 meters.

The winner of the 2005 July Stakes (ENG-G2), Ivan Denisovich stands at Haras Don Alberto, which bred Mama Lili from the winner Margaret Mitchell. Already a proven stakes producer, Margaret Mitchell had previously come up with Sarona (by Seeking the Dia), winner of the 2016 Premio Arturo Lyon Pena (CHI-G1), as well as listed stakes winner Margaret Marina (by Henrythenavigator). Sired by the Smart Strike horse Until Sundown (winner of the 2003 Affirmed Handicap, USA-G3), Margaret Mitchell is a half sister to 2012/2013 Chilean champion sprinter El Tigrito (by Sir Cat).

Margaret Mitchell’s female family was no stranger to Group 1 success even before the arrivals of Sarona and Mama Lili. The dam of Margaret Mitchell and El Tigrito is 2005 Premio Carlos Campino (CHI-G2) winner Tigrita (by three-time Chilean champion sire Dushyantor, a Group 2-winning son of Sadler’s Wells), a full sister to 2010 Chilean Horse of the Year Belle Watling and to 2008 Premio Arturo Lyon Pena (CHI-G1) winner Scarlet. For good measure, Tigrita is also a full sister to Chilean Group 3 winner Clark Gable.

Tigrita, in turn, is out of the winner Biala, whose sire The Great Shark (by Storm Bird) was a member of the family of the important American sire Relaunch and was a good sire and broodmare sire in Chile in spite of a mediocre race record. There is little in the way of merit under the next two dams in the tail-female line, Damasquera (by the Never Bend horse Domineau) and Discografia (by the Damascus horse Damascus Silver), but the next dam, Secuestrada (by 1971 Chilean champion sire Silver Moon III, a son of the important Argentine sire Seductor), had a good production record, coming up with 1984 Premio República de Chile (CHI-G1) winner Risueno (by Rigel II) and 1985 Premio Los Haras de Chile (CHI-G1) winner Secuencia (by Mr. Long). This female line has been in Chile since 1896, when the Argentine-bred mare La Lune, a product of the famous Haras Las Ortigas, was imported; La Lune, in turn, was a daughter of seven-time Argentine champion sire Neapolis (an import from England) and the French-bred mare Legere.

Although Mama Lili’s tail-female line is purely Chilean for over a century, the rest of her pedigree through five generations is mostly from North America, and she is inbred to familiar names: Mr. Prospector 4x4, Roberto 4x5, and Northern Dancer 4x5x5. This is typical of most top South American pedigrees of modern times, which commonly have a good South American family repeatedly crossed with imported North American or European sires--a situation likely to continue as top native-bred colts are not uncommonly tapped for export and further racing in North America, South Africa, Dubai, and Hong Kong. Thus, it falls to the great female families nurtured by the major South American breeders to maintain the distinctiveness of South American breeding populations, and one can hope that Mama Lili will do her part to sustain a fine Chilean family when her racing days are done.
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    I'm Avalyn Hunter, an author, pedigree researcher and longtime racing fan.

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