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The Passing of the Torch

1/29/2017

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After watching the Pegasus World Cup, one can only think, Le roi est mort, vive le roi! Fortunately, in this case, only the king's racing career is dead, as California Chrome's storybook career finished in a race too bad to be true. Post-race reports indicate a minor injury to his right knee, and he will still get his happy ending as he goes off to stud.

In a race eerily reminiscent of the 1995 Donn Handicap (USA-G1I), in which reigning American Horse of the Year Holy Bull suffered a career-ending injury as future champion Cigar sped on to victory, California Chrome's career ended as last year's champion 3-year-old male Arrogate assumed an unquestioned title as the best North American runner in training. What might have happened had Chrome been able to fire his best shot may be debated for years to come, but the fact remains that Arrogate simply dominated as good a field of older runners as ever gets assembled during the winter racing season. With California Chrome now out of the picture, there simply doesn't seem to be anything around even capable of giving the big gray a good workout, and the frightening thing for potential rivals is that he has not yet finished growing and developing.

Whether Arrogate will emulate Cigar in going on to become the next American Horse of the Year remains to be seen, but at this point, the only thing that may stand in his way is himself. If he can remain sound, who knows how high he may soar?




 
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Weekend Trivia Challenge for 1/28/17

1/28/2017

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Only one winner of an American Triple Crown race has ever stood at stud in Thailand. Who was he?
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Along the Lily Lane: First Blooms of Spring

1/23/2017

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Winter still has a grip on much of the country, but horsemen know the spring can't be far off. Among its signs are the emergence of the first of this year's hopefuls for the Longines Kentucky Oaks (USA-G1).

Unlike last year, when Songbird was the name on everyone's lips, the leadership of the sophomore filly division is up for grabs. While the newly crowned Eclipse Award winner Champagne Room is still waiting to make her entrance on the scene, two promising fillies have already opened their 2017 campaigns with stakes victories, picking up 10 points each toward an Oaks starting berth.

Lockdown was the first filly to set hoof on the Lily Lane this year, taking the Busanda Stakes at Aqueduct on January 15. A Juddmonte homebred, the long-striding daughter of First Defence easily outclassed four other 3-year-old fillies, stopping the clock in 1:44.75 for a mile and 70 yards. The final time was not impressive, but the race was still a step in the right direction for the full sister to 2014 American champion older female Close Hatches, now the winner of two straight after dropping her debut. Lockdown and Close Hatches represent the Monroe branch of Kentucky Broodmare of the Year Best in Show, a lineage which also includes 1997 English and French champion 2-year-old male Xaar.

The other filly to announce her presence to potential rivals is Farrell, who proved that her victory in last fall's Golden Rod Stakes (USA-G2) was no fluke by drawing off in professional style in the Silverbulletday Stakes on January 21 at the Fair Grounds. The daughter of proven Classic sire Malibu Moon, who races as a homebred for Coffeepot Stables, defeated five rivals including Untapped, a highly regarded full sister to 2014 American champion 3-year-old filly Untapable and proved that she can handle off going, scoring in 1:44.01 for the mile and 70 yards over a muddy, sealed track.

Farrell is out of the Unbridled's Song mare Rebridled Dreams, already the dam of 2010 Dixiana Breeders' Futurity (USA-G1) winner J. B.'s Thunder (by Thunder Gulch) and 2015 Toyota Blue Grass Stakes (USA-G1) winner Carpe Diem (by Giant's Causeway) as well as multiple English stakes winner Doncaster Rover (by War Chant). Rebridled Dreams herself was a stakes winner and was third in the 2003 Silverbulletday, then a Grade 2 race, and her dam Key Cents (by Corridor Key) was a two-time stakes winner in restricted New York-bred events.

While neither Lockdown nor Farrell have yet challenged the very top of their division, both have pedigrees that suggest both the ability to get the 9 furlongs of the Oaks and the probability that they will continue to improve as they mature. If both grow into the promise that their bloodlines and early careers imply, this may be an interesting spring indeed.
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2017 Triple Crown Trail: No Surprises

1/22/2017

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McCraken's win in last fall's Kentucky Jockey Club Stakes (USA-G2) keeps looking better and better. Last weekend,  KJCS fourth Uncontested used his front-running speed to overwhelm his rivals in the Smarty Jones Stakes. This week, another of the KJCS field, third-place Guest Suite, emulated Uncontested by getting his first stakes win, this in the Lecomte Stakes (USA-G3). While the margin was only a length, the gelding was clearly much the best and was geared down at the wire.

Whatever the reason why Guest Suite was gelded, it certainly wasn't based on his pedigree. A son of four-time Grade I winner Quality Road, the leading American third-crop sire of 2016, Guest Suite is a scion of one of the best families in the American Stud Book. He is a great-grandson of 1992 Kentucky Broodmare of the Year Weekend Surprise (by Secretariat), whose four stakes winners include 1992 American Horse of the Year and two-time American champion sire A.P. Indy (by Seattle Slew) and 1990 Preakness Stakes winner Summer Squall (by Storm Bird).

Welcome Surprise, Weekend Surprise's 1997 daughter by Seeking the Gold, was not quite as talented as her half brothers but still had enough ability to be a graded stakes winner, capturing the 2000 Dogwood Stakes (USA-III). Bred to 2004 American Horse of the Year Ghostzapper, she produced the winner Guest House, who produced Guest Suite as her second foal.

With this kind of genetic background, it is hardly surprising that Guest Suite should have turned out a nice horse. Whether he is more than that remains to be seen, as he needs to show that he can continue improving his form over dry tracks (the Lecomte was run on a muddy sealed track) and against better rivals. Nonetheless, if he runs into a roadblock on the way to the Kentucky Derby---Presented by Yum! Brands (USA-G1), it seems safe to say that it won't be his breeding that stops him.
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Weekend Trivia Challenge for 1/21/2017

1/21/2017

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Named for a shoe company, this stallion stood in Kansas, a state not usually known as a center of Thoroughbred breeding. Nonetheless, he managed to sire a Kentucky Derby winner, a Kentucky Oaks winner and two champions. Name him.
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Weekend Trivia Challenge for 1/14/2017

1/14/2017

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Named for a newspaper sports editor, this American runner might have wondered what he had to do to get some respect. He was routinely described in such unflattering terms as "a lean mule." He was also pressed into service as a work horse for a flashier stable companion in spite of a heavy racing schedule of his own. In a crowning indignity, he became the victim of a cruel act of race fixing. Nonetheless, he was acclaimed as a champion and later became a member of the National Museum of Racing's Hall of Fame. Who was he?
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2017 Triple Crown Trail: Gormley's Ability Is no Sham

1/8/2017

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After a less than ideal trip in the Breeders' Cup Juvenile (USA-G1), the jury is still out as to how Gormley stacks up against the best of his crop. Nonetheless, the Sham Stakes (USA-G3) proved that the colt is second to none when it comes to heart and determination as he bested the talented American Anthem in a prolonged stretch battle. With a good early-season sharpener under his belt, he is now in an excellent position to stretch out step by step with regard to both distance and quality of competition as he proceeds down the road to Churchill Downs.

Added distance, at least, should be no problem. A son of Malibu Moon (already the sire of Kentucky Derby winner Orb), Gormley hails from the family of 1986 American champion turf female Estrapade, who remains the only filly or mare to win the 10-furlong Arlington Million (USA-G1). A mare of fine natural speed, Estrapade also had a brilliant turn of foot and used it to perfection in the Million, in which she cut inside rivals and then spurted away to win laughing. She followed up by winning the 12-furlong Oak Tree Invitational (USA-G1) over Theatrical before running third behind Manila and Theatrical in an excellent edition of the Breeders' Cup Turf (USA-G1).

Estrapade's only stakes winner from six foals was the gelding Rice (by Blushing John), who won the Meadowlands Endurance Handicap as a 6-year-old. As Estrapade herself hit her best stride at 6, this suggests a late-maturing tendency which was probably reinforced by a mating to the staying Nijinsky II grandson Strawberry Road. The resulting filly, Troika, won four of eight starts at 3 and 4 with an average winning distance of 9.25 furlongs before producing Miss Mambo (by Kingmambo), who showed she had inherited some of her sire's miler speed with a third-place finish in the 2004 Poule d'Essai des Pouliches (French One Thousand Guineas, FR-G1). Miss Mambo, in turn, produced the two-turn stakes winner Race to Urga (the dam of Gormley) via a mating to the speedy Storm Cat horse Bernstein.

Both Bernstein and Kingmambo were able to to contribute speed to more stamina-oriented mates without sacrificing staying ability, and Gormley in fact has a pedigree that is well balanced between speed and stamina elements. The main question regarding his future may be not his distance capacity but his best surface, as there is plenty of "turfiness" on the distaff side of his pedigree. So long as he keeps turning in performances like Saturday's, however, look for him to stay on dirt and on the Triple Crown trail.
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Weekend Trivia Challenge for 1/7/2017

1/7/2017

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This big, rugged horse was a high-class stayer, but he earned his chief distinction in an unfortunate way as he became the first horse to be disqualified following an apparent victory in a race worth US$100,000 or more. He was an inconsistent sire but did get one stallion son who succeeded in carrying on an important male line. Who was he?
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2017 Triple Crown Trail---And They're Off!

1/2/2017

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January is a month as uncertain as its weather for newly turned 3-year-olds. Generally speaking, those racing at this time are not the division's top prospects from the year before; those will not usually be seen under silks until February or early March. The colts taking their first tentative steps on the road to Churchill Downs in January are often those who waited until the last quarter of the year to break their maidens, too late to get into the mix for the major fall 2-year-old races. Sometimes, like 2006 Kentucky Derby (USA-G1) winner Barbaro, they become stars. More often, they have their brief moment and then fade from view as the sophomore competition becomes more intense.

Which way El Areeb will go isn't known yet, but he certainly looked the part of a rising 3-year-old hopeful in taking the January 2 Jerome Handicap (USA-G3), the first points race of 2017 for this year's Road to the Kentucky Derby. Already a stakes winner over 6 furlongs in November, the gray son of Exchange Rate ran off and hid from six rivals in his first test over a route. That earned him his first graded win and 10 points toward a Derby starting berth, but more importantly, it revealed a willingness to rate off a rival until asked. As both his previous wins had been scored in front-running fashion, the new tactics were an important step in the colt's mental maturation and bode well for his ability to compete at the next level.

El Areeb is a son of the late Exchange Rate, who scored his biggest win in the 2001 Tom Fool Handicap (USA-G2). Before writing El Areeb off as a speed horse who got lucky over a wet track, however, it's worth remembering that Exchange Rate's progeny include stakes winners at up to 2500 meters (about 12 furlongs). Further, El Areeb hails from a solid Canadian family that includes Queen's Plate winner Regal Intention and Canadian Oaks winners Tilt My Halo and Tiffany's Secret, and his dam is a daughter of 1992 Belmont Stakes (USA-I) and Breeders' Cup Classic (USA-G1) winner A.P. Indy. He will still have to prove that he has inherited the speed and the stamina to become a contender along the Triple Crown trail, but today's win was certainly a step in the right direction and a positive omen for his future.
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    Author

    I'm Avalyn Hunter, an author, pedigree researcher and longtime racing fan with a particular interest in Thoroughbred mares and their contributions to the history of the breed.

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