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2016 Triple Crown Trail: Nyquist Makes Show of Florida Derby Showdown

4/2/2016

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Somehow, Nyquist never seems to please the doubters. And somehow, he keeps winning anyway. Overcoming a cross-country trip, a much-heralded rival and the longest distance he has yet tackled, the Uncle Mo colt is now without a doubt the favorite for the Kentucky Derby---Presented by Yum! Brands (USA-I) after dominating the Xpressbet.com Florida Derby (USA-I).

Granted, Nyquist still hasn't answered every possible question. There will be those who will point out that he was drifting in the stretch, often the sign of a tired horse. That isn't something you want to see in a horse who will be tackling 10 furlongs for the first time next month. On the other hand, the colt finished willingly under a hand ride and got his final furlong in a respectable 12.73, and his 1:49.11 for the 9 furlongs on a track rated good was better than many a fast-track Florida Derby at Gulfstream, though slower than the 1:48.42 Valid posted over the same distance in the Skip Away Stakes (USA-III) earlier on the same card. All in all, it was a good final prep for Nyquist, who got some solid work in without being overtaxed.

Mohaymen, on the other hand, came out of the race with more questions than answers. While he certainly wasn't helped by a wide trip through the first turn and a move that may have been premature, the fact remains that he had nothing when called on and was showing signs of pressure relatively early in the running. If he simply threw in a clunker, the first Saturday in April is certainly a better time for that than the first Saturday in May, but it still isn't a good sign as the Kentucky Derby draws closer. If some minor physical ailment proves to have been the issue, that may be somewhat reassuring to the colt's fans but will still represent a setback in Mohaymen's Kentucky Derby preparation at a time when setbacks are not what a trainer wants to be dealing with.

While the Florida Derby may have been disappointing to fans hoping for an exciting spectacle, owner J. Paul Reddam and trainer Doug O'Neill came out as big winners on the day, having scooped up the winner's share of a US$1 million purse plus a US$1 million bonus for Nyquist's having been a Fasig-Tipton Florida graduate. They also got a virtually ideal final Kentucky Derby prep for their colt, landing another high-stakes gamble following their decision to bring the colt up to Churchill Downs off just two races, one a sprint. Now, it's up to O'Neill to keep the colt healthy and happy until May 7, when Nyquist will have the ultimate chance to face down his doubters.



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Friday Trivia Challenge for 4/1/16

4/1/2016

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Maybe horses were tougher back then, but the connections of this champion of yesteryear certainly weren't worried about a tough race leaving him overdone for the Kentucky Derby. He ran seven times as a 3-year-old before getting to Churchill Downs and won both the Florida Derby and the Flamingo Stakes over his most determined and persistent rival by a head each---and yes, he did win the Kentucky Derby, with the same battle-hardened colt playing runner-up yet again. Who was this hardy champion, and who was the colt who chased him so persistently?
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2016 Triple Crown Trail: Orchids at the Price of Roses?

4/1/2016

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The 2016 Florida Derby (USA-I) could be a first in recent memory: a race in which the winner is one of two losers. That may sound odd for a Grade I race in which the winner will take home the lion's share of a US$1 million purse, not to mention the US$1 million bonus that Nyquist will pick up if he wins. But if he and Mohaymen knock each other out in a slugfest, even if one wins, both may lose the most coveted prize of all---the Kentucky Derby (USA-I).

Normally, it's a good thing for a high-class Derby prospect to have a tough race during Derby preparations. If you're an owner or trainer, you want to see that your colt can handle some adversity going into the Derby rodeo. If he gets a good stiff challenge, a bit of bumping or just a generally tough race and comes out of it unhurt and with undiminished zest for competition while accumulating the needed points for a Kentucky Derby berth, that's all to the good. The problem is that you don't want that tough race in your colt's final prep, when he may not have enough recovery time before the big dance.

That is the situation facing the connections of Nyquist and Mohaymen, who will square off in tomorrow's Florida Derby. It's possible that both will be beaten. It's possible that one will prove much superior and come home without sweating it too much; if that happens, "hot" won't begin to describe the winner's status as the favorite for the roses. Even if the race turns into a dogfight in the stretch, it's possible that Nyquist and Mohaymen are good enough and tough enough to do a mean riff on Free House and Silver Charm, who came back from a tough race in the 1997 Santa Anita Derby (USA-I) to run a bang-up series of races in the Triple Crown events. But a hard race may mean that both colts lose more than they win.

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    Author

    I'm Avalyn Hunter, an author, pedigree researcher and longtime racing fan with a particular interest in Thoroughbred mares and their contributions to the history of the breed.

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