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Mares on Monday: Setup for a Clash of Unbeatens in the Breeders' Cup Juvenile Fillies

10/6/2025

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After an exciting weekend of racing, two undefeated juvenile fillies appear to be on a collision course for the NetJets Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Fillies (USA-G1), carded for October 31, 2025, at Del Mar. One, Frizette Stakes (USA-G1) winner Iron Orchard, ran down Spinaway Stakes (USA-G1) third Rileytole in the last stride to claim a “Win and You’re In” ticket to California. The other, Spinaway winner Tommy Jo, kept her undefeated record intact via the stewards’ box after being fouled by first-place finisher Percy’s Bar in the final furlong of the Darley Alcibiades Stakes (USA-G1) at Keeneland, also a “Win and You’re In” race.

Both fillies boast blue-blooded pedigrees to back up their racing resumes. A daughter of six-time American champion sire Into Mischief, Tommy Jo is the second foal and first winner from listed stakes winner Mother Mother, who placed three times at the Grade 1 level. A half sister to 2014 Kentucky Derby (USA-G1) runner-up Commanding Curve (by Master Command), Mother Mother is by multiple Grade 1 winner and 2009 Kentucky Derby runner-up Pioneerof the Nile, a son of 2003 Belmont Stakes (USA-G1) winner Empire Maker who gained fame as the sire of 2015 American Triple Crown winner American Pharoah.

Mother Mother’s dam is the winner Mother, whose sire Lion Hearted is a Grade 2-placed son of Storm Cat and Easy Goer’s full sister Cadillacing (winner of the 1988 Ballerina Stakes, USA-G1). Mother was produced from Proper Lassie, a half sister by the good Northern Dancer horse Topsider to stakes winner Proper Ridge (by Cox’s Ridge), and Proper Lassie, in turn, is out of the listed stakes winner Proper Miss (by 1965 American champion 3-year-old male Tom Rolfe), a half sister to multiple Grade 1 winner Proper Reality (by In Reality) and listed stakes winners Proper Native (by Our Native) and Proper Reflection (by Relaunch). The female line traces back to the important 20th-century broodmare Alablue.

Iron Orchard is from the same sire line as Tommy Jo as she is the first Grade 1 winner sired by 2020 American Horse of the Year Authentic (by Into Mischief). She is the third named foal and second winner from stakes-placed Onebrethatatime, whose sire Brethren (by Distorted Humor) won the 2011 Sam F. Davis Stakes (USA-G3) and has had some success as a regional sire in Florida. A half sister to 2011 Arlington-Washington Lassie Stakes (USA-G3) winner Wonderlandbynight (by Sky Mesa), Onebrethatatime is also a half sister to Gilded Miracle (by Gilded Time), dam of 2023 Shoemaker Mile Stakes (USA-G1) winner Exaulted (by Twirling Candy) and second dam of 2023 Presque Isle Downs Masters Stakes (USA-G2) winner Accomplished Girl (by Street Boss).

Onebrethatatime and her siblings are out of the winning Gulch mare Onemiracleatatime, a half sister to listed stakes winner Timeless Love (by Gilded Time). The next dam in the tail-female line, Katie Love (by 1986 American champion turf male Manila) is out of the Francis S. mare Gonfalon, also the dam of multiple Grade 1 winner Ogygian (by Damascus) and second dam of 1996 Metropolitan Handicap (USA-G1) winner Honour and Glory (by Relaunch).

On paper, Tommy Jo looks to be the faster of these two fillies based both on speed figures and on a line through Rileytole, but anything can happen on Breeders’ Cup day and often does. The West Coast contingent also cannot be taken lightly after Explora’s monster race in the Oak Leaf Stakes Presented by Oak Leaf Racing Association (USA-G2), and it must be remembered that Bottle of Rouge beat her for the Del Mar Debutante Stakes (USA-G1) at Del Mar, where she is now 2-for-2 (see “Mares on Monday: Bottle of Rouge Is the Toast of the Del Mar Debutante,” September 8, 2025). As daughters of Breeders’ Cup Classic (USA-G1) winners Blame and Vino Rosso, respectively, they should have no trouble with the 8.5-furlong distance and may well improve next year to boot. In any event, the Juvenile Fillies should be one of the more interesting races on the Breeders’ Cup card and will probably crown this year’s junior princess of the sport in the United States, regardless of which filly wins.


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Mares on Monday: A Saga Continues in Argentina

9/29/2025

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​Although the racing at Argentina’s La Plata racetrack is generally considered slightly softer than that at Palermo or San Isidro, La Plata does host some major events during the year, among them the Gran Premio Selección de Potrancas. If not quite on the same level as Palermo’s Gran Premio Selecction (Argentine Oaks, ARG-G1), La Plata’s top event for 3-year-old fillies is still an important prize and has been won by some first-rate fillies, among them Argentine champions Una Arrabalera and Kalath Wells. This year’s edition went to Calida Sonrisa, who took revenge for her lone defeat in La Plata’s Polla de Potrancas (ARG-G2) by leaving that race’s winner, Elenika, back in seventh place.

Calida Sonrisa is a daughter of Cosmic Trigger, a talented but unsound son of 2007 Railway Stakes (IRE-G2) winner Lizard Island and a male-line descendant of the great international sire Danehill. Undefeated in his only two starts and a half brother to Argentine champion and leading American sire Candy Ride, Cosmic Trigger was given a chance at stud at his birthplace, Haras Abolengo. He is currently fourth on Argentina’s general sire list after finishing third last year and fifth in 2023, and Calida Sonrisa is his 13th Group 1 winner.

On the dam’s side, Calida Sonrisa descends from the important broodmare Sea Saga, who already holds a treasured place in Argentine pedigrees as the maternal granddam of 11-time Argentine champion sire Southern Halo. The winner of the 1971 Ladies Handicap (which became a Grade 1 race when the North American graded race system was instituted in 1973), Sea Saga had a fair measure of the talent of her brilliant sire, the great Sea-Bird.

Sea Saga produced only four foals, but two were stakes winners. One, 1977 Test Stakes (USA-G3) winner Northern Sea (by Northern Dancer), became the dam of the aforementioned Southern Halo to a cover by Halo and also produced Excellent Lady (by Smarten), dam of multiple Grade 1 winner General Challenge (by General Meeting) and 2000 Oak Leaf Stakes (USA-G1) winner Notable Career (by Avenue of Flags), and Northern Pageant (by Spectacular Bid), dam of multiple Grade 2 winner Snow Dance (by Forestry). The other, Key to the Saga (by Key to the Mint), won the 1978 Pucker Up Stakes (USA-G3) and became the second dam of 1983 Santa Anita Handicap (USA-G1) winner Sir Beaufort and 2012 Premio Cyllene (ARG-G2) winner The New Yorker.

Dancer’s Saga, a full sister to Northern Sea, won only once from 13 tries but made up for her failings on the track in the paddocks. She produced stakes winners Exclusive Story (by Exclusive Native), Colonial Saga (by Pleasant Colony), and Pleasant Tango (by Pleasant Colony) and is also the dam of Epic Villa (by Pancho Villa), dam in turn of multiple Argentine Group 1 winner Knock (by Luhuk).

Given the previous successes experienced in Argentina by this family, it is not really surprising that Key Cure (by Cure the Blues), a granddaughter of Dancer’s Saga through her Key to the Mint daughter Dancer’s Key, should also have made her way to the paddocks of Argentina. She produced 10 Argentine-bred foals, headed by multiple Argentine Group 2 winner Blues for Sale (by Not for Sale) and listed stakes winner Cure for Sale (by Not for Sale). If the name of Blues for Sale sounds familiar, it should; she is the dam of multiple Grade/Group 1 winner Blue Prize (by Pure Prize), whose victories include the 2019 Longines Breeders’ Cup Distaff (USA-G1), and of Blue Stripe (by Equal Stripes), another multiple Grade/Group 1 winner who fell only a nose short of duplicating her sister’s triumph in the 2022 Distaff. Blues for Sale is also the dam of 2025 Premio Coronel Miguel F, Martinez (ARG-G3) winner Blue Caviar (by Equal Stripes).

Calida Sonrisa is out of Key Cure’s last foal, Chica Canalla (by Not for Sale), who won two of her 13 starts, both over 1400 meters at San Isidro. Also the dam of the winner Flor de Atamisque (by Cosmic Trigger), the mare has since produced the unraced Mootasadir filly Pelusa Cosmica, a foal of 2023, and a yearling son of Equal Stripes who has been named Triste Adios. She was barren to Cosmic Trigger for 2025.

Calida Sonrisa was making only her third lifetime start in the Selección de Potrancas, so it appears that she has a bright future ahead of her if she proves sounder than her sire. If she does, she may add another worthy chapter to the illustrious saga of her female family.
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Mares on Monday: Clicquot Bubbles Up in Cotillion Stakes

9/22/2025

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​In Saturday’s Cotillion Stakes (USA-G1) at Parx Racing, three Grade 1 winners—Good Cheer, La Cara, and Scottish Lassie—furnished most of the pre-race chat. Post-race was a different story, as all three of the big names failed to hit the board. Instead, a new shooter’s connections got to pop some champagne as last-out Indiana Oaks (USA-G3) winner Clicquot, making her Grade 1 debut, gamely withstood a stiff drive through the stretch to beat Dry Powder home by a neck. Ourdaydreaminggirl, the longest shot on the board at 47-1, made a strong closing run to finish another head back in third.

Bred by Don Alberto Corporation, Clicquot is the 15th Grade/Group 1 winner sired by Lane’s End veteran sire Quality Road, who has been represented by 19 stakes winners so far in 2025. Also the sire of recent Ballerina Stakes (USA-G1) winner Hope Road, Quality Road has sired 639 winners (59.2 percent) and 93 stakes winners (8.6 percent) from 1,080 named foals aged 3 and up, giving him a remarkably consistent record for a modern-day stallion. Clicquot is the stallion’s fourth Grade 1 winner from an A.P. Indy-line mare, following Bellafina, Dunbar Road, and Emblem Road but is the first stakes winner of any sort sired by Quality Road from a Tapit mare.

Clicquot was produced from Tapit’s daughter Royal Obsession, who was the runner-up in the 2016 Gazelle Stakes (USA-G2) during her own racing days. A US$1.8 million purchase for Don Alberto Corp. from the 2017 Keeneland November mixed sale, Royal Obsession is also the dam of stakes-placed Silver Ticket (by Curlin) and the winning Distorted Humor filly Rue de Bac. She did not produce a live foal in 2023 or 2024 but gave birth to an Elite Power filly this spring before visiting Good Magic.

Tapit, of course, needs no introduction; a three-time American sire champion, he is currently leading the American broodmare sire list after finishing fifth in 2022, second in 2023, and third in 2024. Royal Obsession’s dam Rote is another matter, with her only other black-type runner being Jumby Bay, who placed in a couple of small stakes races at Tampa Bay Downs. Rote, though, is a winning Tiznow half sister to 2006 Garden City Breeders’ Cup Stakes (USA-G1) winner Magnificent Song (by Unbridled’s Song). She is also a half sister to three graded/Group stakes-placed runners, and having Storm Cat and Round Table as the sires of the next two dams along the female line certainly did not hurt Royal Obsession’s appeal.

Rote and her siblings were produced from Song to Remember (by Storm Cat), a winning half sister to multiple Grade 3 winner Lech (by Danzig), 1989 Miss Grillo Stakes (USA-G3) winner Savina (by Nijinsky II), and listed stakes winner Crimson Guard by Danzig). Produced from stakes-placed Wedding Reception (by Round Table), Song to Remember is also a half sister to Erandel (by Danzig), dam of 2003 Oceanport Handicap (USA-G3) winner Runspastum (by Woodman) and second dam of 2013 Gardenia Stakes (USA-G3) winner Devious Intent (by Dixie Union). Wedding Reception, in turn, is out of 1964 Diana Handicap winner Prodana Neviesta (by Reneged), making her a full sister to 1974 Lawrence Realization (USA-G2) winner Prod and a half sister to 1975 Schuylerville Stakes (USA-G3) winner Nijana (by Nijinsky II). Another half sister to Wedding Reception, Dowry (by Damascus), is the dam of 1986 San Simeon Stakes (USA-G3) winner Estate (by Singh).

Now riding a four-race win streak after breaking her maiden at second asking, Clicquot has jumbled the standings in the American 3-year-old filly division into a tangle unlikely to be resolved before the Breeders’ Cup Distaff (USA-G1). Barring something very unusual happening, such as a leading filly successfully tackling colts or older males in a late-season graded race (a la Surfside in the 2000 Clark Handicap, USA-G2), the Eclipse statuette will probably go to whichever of the top 3-year-old fillies turns in the best performance in the Distaff. Which one will it be? At this point, your guess is as good as mine, and quite possibly better.
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Mares on Monday: Bottle of Rouge Is the Toast of the Del Mar Debutante

9/8/2025

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​With the three top choices out of the seven fillies in the Del Mar Debutante Stakes (USA-G1) field in his stable, the odds were pretty good that Bob Baffert would be the trainer of the winner. The surprise came in which one actually got the job done. Brilliant maiden winner Explora was made the odds-on favorite with Sorrento Stakes (USA-G3) winner Himika getting the nod as second choice, but it was Bottle of Rouge who defied her 9-1 odds and ran out the winner by a length after showing commendable determination in a duel with Explora; Himika settled for fourth after failing to peg back Explora with her own challenge.

Now the winner of two of her three starts, Bottle of Rouge padded her bankroll to a total of $240,000. She is the fifth stakes winner and first graded stakes winner for 2019 American champion older dirt male Vino Rosso, whose oldest runners are 4-year-olds. The son of Curlin and the Street Cry mare Mythical Bride stands at Spendthrift Farm, and the connection between his name (meaning “red wine” in Italian) and that of his daughter is obvious.

On the distaff side, Bottle of Rouge was bred by Kathie Maybee, who acquired the filly’s dam Blues Corner after the mare failed to change hands on a US$19,000 bid at the 2019 Fasig-Tipton Kentucky February mixed sale. For Maybee, Blues Corner has produced Golden Line (by Cross Traffic), a winner in Saudi Arabia, and Visceral, a 4-year-old Violence colt who has been unplaced in two starts. She was barren in 2022 and since producing Bottle of Rouge has given birth to a yearling full sister to the Debutante winner and a 2025 filly by Yaupon,

As Visceral and Bottle of Rouge sold for US$150,000 between them as weanlings, Maybee has not done badly with Blues Corner, whose bargain price reflected both an indifferent race record (one third from five starts) and an unfashionable sire in Bluegrass Cat. Now the broodmare sire of 25 stakes winners, Bluegrass Cat was a much better racehorse than stallion, winning the 2006 Haskell Invitational Stakes (USA-G1) and running second in that year’s Kentucky Derby (USA-G1), Belmont Stakes (USA-G1), and Travers Stakes (USA-G1). Although he was the leading New York-based sire of 2013, much more had been expected of him given his splendid pedigree; a son of Storm Cat, he belonged to an excellent branch of the La Troienne family tracing back through 1971 American champion 2-year-old filly Numbered Account.

A half sister to 2012 Philip. H. Iselin Stakes (USA-G3) winner San Pablo (by Jump Start) and to Grade 2-placed Slider (by Prenup), Blues Corner is out of Hunt’s Corner, a winning daughter of Silver Ghost. Sired by Mr. Prospector from the high-class race mare Misty Gallore (by Halo), Silver Ghost had a temper rivaling Halo’s but had speed as well, setting a track record for 6.5 furlongs at Belmont in 1985. He parlayed that speed and his fine pedigree into a quite useful career at stud, becoming the sire of the Grade 1-winning fillies Dreams Gallore, Love Lock, and Lunar Spook and the broodmare sire of 2024 Kentucky Broodmare of the Year Puca.

Hunt’s Corner is a half sister to stakes-placed Twist the Facts (by Known Fact), dam of listed stakes winner Spin Zone (by Wild Zone), and is out of Treacherous Twist, a winning daughter of the useful speed sire Torsion and a half sister to stakes winner Turning Pleasant (by Pleasant Colony). The next dam in Bottle of Rouge’s tail-female line, Treacherous Turn (by Turn-to), is out of Treachery, by the good Mahmoud son Promised Land and a half sister to 1960 American champion 2-year-old male and 1970 American champion sire Hail to Reason (by Turn-to).

Although Bottle of Rouge is arguably the best runner produced by her direct female line since Hail to Reason, she would have to go a long way to be his match. Still, with a Grade 1 win over the track in the leadup to this year’s Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Fillies (USA-G1), a championship may not be out of her reach—and an Eclipse Award would be a good reason for her connections to raise a toast to her. With a bottle of red, of course.


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Mares on Monday: Daddy's Little Girl or Mini-Mom? Either Way, Hope Road Dances to Ballerina Win

8/25/2025

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​Hope Road acted like Daddy’s little girl during loading into the gate for the Resorts World Casino Ballerina Stakes (USA-G1) at Saratoga on Saturday, but when the gates flew open, it was a case of “like mother, like daughter.” Emulating her dam, 2018 Ballerina winner Marley’s Freedom, Hope Road came strongly through the stretch and got the job done by two lengths over multiple graded stakes winner Scylla. It was the first Grade 1 win for the Cicero Farms homebred, who improved her record to five wins from 12 starts and increased her lifetime bankroll to $886,620.

Hope Road is by Quality Road, who won three Grade 1 races and set three track records during his career but gained  notoriety for his pre-race display at the 2009 Breeders’ Cup Classic (USA-G1). On that occasion, he became so keyed up and upset that he all but sat down in the gate, forcing a scratch. He recovered to turn in brilliant performances in the 2010 Donn Handicap (USA-G1) and Metropolitan Handicap (USA-G1) as a 4-year-old. Retired to Lane’s End Farm in Kentucky, he has been a good sire whose 15 Grade/Group 1 winners include American champions Abel Tasman, Corniche, and National Treasure.

Hope Road is the first foal of Marley’s Freedom, a half sister to listed stakes winner Noble Charlotte (by Include) and to Indian Carlie (by Indian Charlie), dam of multiple stakes winner Noble Commander (by Forestry). A daughter of 2010 American champion older male Blame, Marley’s Freedom won three other graded stakes races at distances up to a mile in addition to her Ballerina win. Following Hope Road, she has produced the unraced 3-year-old filly Freedom Song (by Medaglia d’Oro), a yearling colt by Uncle Mo, and a 2025 colt by Violence. She most recently visited Not This Time.

As a daughter of Blame, who stayed 10 furlongs quite well, Marley’s Freedom might have been expected to want more distance, but Blame may have transmitted the sprinting proclivity of his dam Liable (the 2010 Kentucky Broodmare of the Year) in this case. Although she was sired by Seeking the Gold out of a Nijinsky II mare—ordinarily a formula for classic stamina—Liable scored all six of her career victories over sprint distances. A half sister to the Group 1-winning miler Archipenko (by Kingmambo) and stakes winner Limit, she was produced from Bound, who showed some foot over sprint distances as well as around two turns. This is a branch of the family of Rough Shod II, which was a longtime pillar of Claiborne Farm’s breeding program and proved a versatile source of fine horses with varying distance capacities.

Liable is actually a better guess than the distaff side of Marley’s Freedom’s pedigree as the source of the Ballerina winner’s speed. The dam of Marley’s Freedom, Relaxing Green, was a two-turn runner of modest talent but was about as good as most sired by Formal Gold. The best racing son of 1991 American Horse of the Year Black Tie Affair, Formal Gold boasted a high cruising speed, a weapon he used to win four graded stakes as a 4-year-old including the 1997 Woodward Stakes (USA-G1) and Donn Handicap (USA-G1). Unfortunately, he failed to transmit his own fine qualities consistently, getting a lot of small winners but not much above the ordinary.

Relaxing Green is a half sister to 1999 Lexington Stakes (USA-G3) winner Mythical Gem (by Jade Hunter) and to Grade 3-placed listed stakes winner Apple Charlotte (by Smart Strike). Produced from stakes-placed Charlotte Augusta (by 1984 American champion 2-year-old male Chief’s Crown out of 1982 New York Handicap, USA-G3, winner Noble Damsel), Relaxing Green is also a half sister to Anyhow (by Tiznow), dam of 2015 Stephen Foster Handicap (USA-G1) winner Noble Bird (by Birdstone) and Puerto Rican stakes winner Brother Pat (Any Given Saturday).

As the Ballerina was a “Win and You’re In” race for the Breeders’ Cup Filly and Mare Sprint (USA-G1), the latter race seems to be the likely year-end target for Hope Road. A win on American racing’s biggest day would likely be enough to secure an Eclipse Award as American champion female sprinter for a filly who certainly took after both parents when it comes to ability.
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Mares on Monday: Nitrogen Reaches Atmospheric Heights in Alabama

8/18/2025

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​On June 17, 2025, Nitrogen aired by 17 lengths in an off-the-turf edition of the Wonder Again Stakes (USA-G3) at Saratoga, her first race on a surface other than turf. After she got nipped at the wire in the Belmont Invitational Oaks (USA-G1), her connections decided to see whether that dirt form was a fluke or limited to the slop. They picked an ambitious spot for the trial. Saturday’s Alabama Stakes Presented by Keeneland Sales (USA-G1) drew a small but select field of six, including both the leading contenders in the American 3-year-old filly division: Longines Kentucky Oaks (USA-G1) winner Good Cheer, who dominated the division in the spring, and La Cara, who ripped off front-running victories in the Central Bank Ashland Stakes (USA-G1) and the DK Horse Acorn Stakes (USA-G1). Globe-trotting United Arab Emirates Oaks (USA-G3) winner and Swedish Derby runner-up Queen Azteca and Black-Eyed Susan Stakes (USA-G2) winner Margie’s Intention also merited at least some consideration, with Black-Eyed Susan Stakes third Kinzie Queen rounding out the field.

Following the Alabama, there is now a troika at the top of the division instead of a pair. The reigning Canadian champion juvenile filly, Nitrogen thrust herself into Eclipse Award contention on this side of the northern border with a 1½-length win over Good Cheer; La Cara, the early leader, was a leg-weary fourth.

La Cara, who had things her own way in the early going, had no excuse on the track, though her fitness may have been adversely affected by a strangles quarantine that forced her to stay in the barn and miss a planned start in the Coaching Club American Oaks (USA-G1) on July 19. Good Cheer likewise had no excuse during the race, running a solid second. Nitrogen was simply the best filly that day, despite drifting in and out in the stretch in a manner that suggested that either she lost mental focus or the distance was a little more than really she wanted. Regardless, she is now in position to chart a path to the Breeders’ Cup Distaff (USA-G1) and a possible American championship.

Like Good Cheer, Nitrogen is a daughter of three-time Grade 1 winner Medaglia d’Oro, who needs no introduction as a sire of top fillies or for that matter as a top sire, period. The veteran Darley stallion has 186 stakes winners to his credit, including 29 Grade/Group 1 winners, and is currently 10th on the American general sire list. Aside from Nitrogen and Good Cheer, he is also represented this year by dual Grade 1 winner Spirit of St. Louis.

Bred and owned by D. J. Stable, Nitrogen is out of Tiffany Case, who was purchased from the 2019 Keeneland November mixed sale for $320,000 while carrying Nitrogen’s older half sister, Love to Shop (by Violence). A foal of 2020, Love to Shop won the 2023 Toronto Cup Stakes Presented by Crown Royal (CAN-L) and is Grade 2-placed. Since producing Nitrogen, Tiffany Case’s only other live foal has been a 2024 daughter of Gun Runner, now named Sniper. The mare was bred to Not This Time for 2026.

A stakes-placed half sister to 2018 Indiana Oaks (USA-G3) winner and Acorn Stakes runner-up Talk Veuve to Me (by Violence), Tiffany Case is by the late Uncle Mo out of Biblical Point, a winning daughter of Point Given. Produced from Biblical Sense, Biblical Point is a full sister to multiple Grade 2-placed stakes winner Winning Point and a half sister to stakes winner Sense of Duty (by Meadowlake).

Biblical Sense never raced, but she had plenty of pedigree to offer, Sired by Blushing Groom out of the Group 3-placed Northern Dancer mare Star in the North (a half sister to 1975 Prix de Flore, FR-G3, winner Lighted Glory, by Nijinsky II, and to 1986 Prix Kergorlay, FR-G2, winner King Luthier, by Luthier), she is a half sister to 1985 Manhattan Handicap (USA-G1) winner Cool (by Bold Bidder), to 1989 Coloroll Yorkshire Cup (ENG-G2) winner Mountain Kingdom (by Exceller), and to stakes winner Heaven and Earth (by Stop the Music).

Now just a nose shy of being a Grade 1 winner on both dirt and turf, Nitrogen has certainly proved her versatility as well as her class. With a record of six wins and that close second from seven starts in 2025, she has also been as consistent as once could ask. That consistency, combined with her top-flight ability, might just be enough to send her flying to new heights during the remainder of the year.
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Mares on Monday: Is Puca a Sure Bet or a Major Gamble?

8/11/2025

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​It is a rare day when a reigning Broodmare of the Year goes through the auction ring. Thus, it naturally generated a wave of interest and speculation when John Stewart announced that his prize mare Puca would be going to the 2025 “Night of the Stars” sale at Fasig-Tipton November. The 2024 Kentucky Broodmare of the Year will be the first bearer of that title to go through the sale ring since 2007 Kentucky Broodmare of the Year Better Than Honour went through the same sale in 2008. (For the record, 2015 Broodmare of the Year Littleprincessemma and 2020 honoree Drumette both sold at auction as broodmares, but neither had earned their titles by the time of their sales.)

Puca, who reportedly will sell with a reserve of at least US$5 million, could but probably will not top Better Than Honour’s record-setting sale price of US$14 million as Better Than Honour’s purchaser, Michael Moreno’s Southern Equine Bloodstock, already owned 70 percent of the mare going into the sale. That meant that some US$9.8 million of Better Than Honour’s purchase price came right back to him, making his actual expenditure considerably less than the price tag. It is interesting to note the similarities between the two mares, though, Both are the dams of two winners of American Triple Crown races (Jazil and Rags to Riches for Better Than Honour, Mage and Dornoch for Puca); they were/are of similar ages at the times of their sales (Better Than Honour was 12, Puca is 13), and both have produced good runners aside from their Classic winners. Also, both sold/will sell as open mares, putting in at least 14 to 18 months’ delay between purchase and getting another foal.

Both Puca and Better Than Honour were good race mares, with Puca capturing a restricted stakes and placing in Grade 2 company and Better Than Honour winning the 1998 Demoiselle Stakes (USA-G2) and placing in Grade 1 company. Both also boast fine pedigrees, though Better Than Honour’s must be accounted the better by an order of magnitude. Few proven broodmares indeed are put on the market that are sired by a two-time American champion sire and champion broodmare sire out of a Kentucky Oaks winner whose dam was herself a Kentucky Broodmare of the Year and a mare of exceptional influence even in that company.

Puca goes into the ring with multiple Grade 1-placed Baeza still in action and following the births of 2024 and 2025 full siblings to Mage and Dornoch—the latter a precious filly, her first—so Stewart’s decision to sell her and try to recoup the US$2.9 million he paid for her in 2023 is understandable. Thoroughbreds are fragile commodities that can go from multimillion dollar assets to valueless or dead very quickly, so cashing in quickly makes good economic sense. Puca is still young enough to be reasonably expected to produce several foals, and any further daughters out of her would have great residual value even if she never produces another black-type runner. For a high-end breeder, she may be an excellent investment even with a high-seven-figures-or-more price tag.

Still, a look at Better Than Honour’s post-sale record would seem to sound a cautionary note. As matters turned out, Better Than Honour produced only three more named foals. The good news was that all of them were fillies, two by Street Cry and one by Bernardini. The bad news is that none of them were fast enough to beat the proverbial fat man; one, the Bernardini mare Empathy N Respect, never even made it to the track. Dogged by repeated barrenness after producing a dead foal from her first mating, Empathy N Respect has yet to produce a live foal. Her two half sisters by Street Cry both failed to win. They have produced three winners between them from eight named foals of racing age, topped by 2021 Fasig-Tipton Fountain of Youth Stakes (USA-G2) winner Greatest Honour (out of Tiffany’s Honour).

No one ever knows how a good broodmare will continue producing by the time she is in her early teens. Many top producers have already given much the best they have to give by that point. Others, like Somethingroyal (who threw Secretariat at age 18), No Class (who threw Grade 1 winner Always a Classic at age 19), Battle Creek Girl (who threw Grade 2 winner Parade Leader, the last of her six stakes winners, at age 20), and Courtly Dee (whose final stakes winner, multiple Grade 2 winner Twining, arrived when she was 23), retain fertility and reproductive vitality into old age. Whatever the price she commands, Puca will represent a huge gamble for her purchaser. But such is the nature of the Thoroughbred industry, whether on the track or in the breeding shed.


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Mares on Monday: Seismic Beauty Rocks 'Em in Clement D. Hirsch

8/4/2025

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​With earthquakes shaking our world recently, perhaps Seismic Beauty took it as a sign that it was time to generate a shockwave of her own. The 4-year-old filly, who races for Peter Leidel and My Racehorse, stepped it up in front-running style in Saturday’s Clement L. Hirsch Stakes (USA-G1) at Del Mar. Her 1½-length score over multiple Grade 1 winner Kopion was her first success at the top level, and it also punched her ticket for a “Win and You’re In” entry to the Breeders’ Cup Distaff (USA-G1)—which, it just so happens, is being run at Del Mar this year. This is also the track where Seismic Beauty broke her maiden at second asking as a 3-year-old, so she will go into the Distaff with a home-court advantage. A big, rather slow-developing type, she will also go into the Breeders’ Cup with ever-increasing maturity after three straight victories.

The fourth Hirsch winner for trainer Bob Baffert, Seismic Beauty was bred by 2500 Determined Stud, which bought the daughter of Uncle Mo in utero when they picked up the mare Knarsdale for US$430,000 at the 2020 Keeneland November sale. Now the sire of 113 stakes winners, Uncle Mo represents the Grey Sovereign branch of the Nasrullah male line, which entered the United States via Uncle Mo’s great-great-grandsire Caro in 1977. The stallion died in December 2024, but his son Nyquist is already a well-established successor, and more Uncle Mo sons have earned trials at stud at some of America’s top stud farms.

Knarsdale, the dam of Seismic Beauty, was not nearly so accomplished during her own racing days, topping out with a minor stakes placing. Nevertheless, she brought a fine pedigree to the mating. A daughter of longtime Darley stalwart Medaglia d’Oro (whose daughters have thus far produced 130 stakes winners), she is out of Grade 3-placed Secret File, whose sire Smart Strike, a two-time leader of the American general sire list, has 206 stakes winners to his credit as a maternal grandsire. Seismic Beauty is her first foal, and Knarsdale is also the dam of the winning Bernardini colt Cincazul and the unraced 2-year-old filly My Steel Magnolia (by Essential Quality). The mare’s most recent foals are a 2024 full sister to Seismic Beauty and a 2025 filly by Charlatan.

This line traces back to the mid-20th century matriarch Your Hostess via the mare’s great-granddaughter White Moon (by Hail to Reason), a product of the Bieber-Jacobs breeding program that never made it to the races. Put to the good sire Delta Judge, she produced the winner Cosmic Law, a half sister to minor stakes winner Silent White (by Silent Screen). From there, the family fortunes began ticking up again as Cosmic Law produced two stakes winners: El Perico (by Drone), a modest stakes winner at Hialeah, and Cosmic Tiger (by Tim the Tiger), a good juvenile whose two stakes wins included the 1985 Tempted Stakes (USA-G3). Cosmic Law also produced Hawaiian Joss (by Hawaii), dam of 1994 Gardenia Breeders’ Cup Handicap (USA-G3) winner Alphabulous (by Alphabatim); Heavenly Storm (by Storm Bird), dam of German listed stakes winner Henessy (by Alkalde); and Codetogo (by Lost Code), dam of stakes winner Cedar Knolls (by Broad Brush).

Cosmic Tiger carried on with three stakes winners of her own: Chillito, a Strawberry Road gelding who won the 1998 Flamingo Stakes (USA-G3); Once a Sailor (by Vice Regent), a multiple listed stakes winner at the Fair Grounds; and Grade 3-placed listed stakes winner Emery Board (by Grindstone), whose daughter Secret File is Seismic Beauty’s granddam. Cosmic Tiger also produced stakes-placed Embraceable (by Dehere), dam of Canadian restricted stakes winners Retraceable (by Medaglia d’Oro; dam of stakes winner Another Miracle, by American Pharoah) and Maritime Passion (by Stormy Atlantic). The last-named mare is the dam of 2016 Highlander Stakes (CAN-G2) winner Passion for Action (by Speightstown).

Generally speaking, Seismic Beauty’s female line has been solid but unspectacular for generations; prior to Seismic Beauty, it had not produced a Grade/Group 1 winner since 1971, when White Moon’s full sister Hippodamia, France’s champion juvenile filly of 1973, first saw the light of day. Nevertheless, good, solid female families of this sort can have an eruption of class at any time, and with Seismic Beauty, this one just did.

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Mares on Monday: No Time Like the Present in Woodbine Oaks

7/21/2025

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​Hall of Fame jockey John Velazquez, a veteran of the New York circuit, doesn’t ride north of the Canadian border all that often. His previous trips there have been profitable, though; he has ridden the winner of the Woodbine Mile (CAN-G1) five times and the winner of the E. P. Taylor Stakes (CAN-G1) three times, as well as taking the King’s Plate (then the Queen’s Plate) with Wonder Gadot in 2018. Last Sunday, he added the classic Woodbine Oaks to his resume, bringing No Time home by 3¾ lengths over race favorite Shifty. Winterberry was home third, completing a 1-2-3 sweep for trainer Mark Casse, who tied Jim Day’s record of five wins in Canada's premier Classic for 3-year-old fillies. It was also the second Oaks win for Gary Barber, whose Lexie Lou swept the 2014 Oaks and Queen’s Plate on the way to Canadian Horse of the Year honors.

No Time, who was gaining her first stakes win, will need to step up her game substantially to warrant comparison with Lexie Lou, who ended her 3-year-old season by running an excellent second to 2014 American champion 3-year-old male and Horse of the Year California Chrome in the Hollywood Derby (USA-G1). Nevertheless, she has a pedigree suggesting that we haven’t seen the best of her yet, as well as connections that should have every chance of bringing out whatever potential she has.

No Time is the fiftieth stakes winner for Not This Time, who has gone from strength to strength since entering stud in 2017. The sire of 12 stakes winners (five of them graded) in 2025, the son of Giant’s Causeway was represented by 17 stakes winners last year, headed by the blazing-fast turf sprinter Cogburn and Matriarch Stakes (USA-G1) winner Sacred Wish. A versatile sire who gets good runners on all surfaces and from sprints to classic distances, he currently stands seventh on the American general sire list.

On the distaff side, No Time is a half sister to two-time Bing Crosby Stakes (USA-G1) winner Ransom the Moon (by Malibu Moon) and to 2022 Frank E. Kilroe Mile Stakes (USA-G1) winner Count Again (by Awesome Again), both horses that needed some time to mature before finding their best form. Their dam, the Red Ransom mare Count to Three, became a stakes winner at age 4, and her “nephew” Paijan (by Mingun out of Count to Three’s half sister Countus Affair, by Black Tie Affair) became a Group 3 winner in Peru at age 4. Of the stakes winners in No Time’s immediate family, Think Red (a full brother to Count to Three) was the most precocious, winning the 2000 Toronto Cup Handicap in July of his 3-year-old season.

Count to Three, in turn, is out of 1990 Matriarch Handicap (USA-G1) winner Countus In (by Dancing Count x Cloudy and Warm, by Cloudy Dawn), who took down her signature score as a 5-year-old. Two of her half sisters did win stakes as 3-year-olds, though at a significantly lower level: Tulindas (by Shelter Half) and Aube d’Or (by Medaille d’Or). The last-named mare is the third dam of 2021 American Horse of the Year Knicks Go (by Paynter), who reached his best form as a 5-year-old.

No Time, then, is a filly one would reasonably expect to be slow to come to her best form. Even as she stands, on speed figures she would be a reasonable fit for the upcoming King’s Plate, a race won by eight previous Oaks winners. The most recent to complete the double was Moira (2022), who went on to become the 2022 Canadian Horse of the Year and the 2024 American champion turf female. That would be a lofty standard to emulate, but given time, it may not be out of reach.
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Mares on Monday: Drive Joy a New Star for a Canadian Matriarchy

7/14/2025

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​June 28 brought one of the most spectacular cards of the Argentine racing season, the Gran Premios Estrellas, which are the national equivalent of the Breeders’ Cup. Hosted this year at Palermo, the seven races of the Estrellas—six of them at Group 1 level—will undoubtedly have a significant effect on 2025 voting in the Pellegrini Awards, Argentina’s year-end championships. The impact is particularly heavy on the juvenile divisions, whose members became 3-year-olds on July 1.

Charm, winner of the Gran Premio Estrellas Juvenile Fillies (ARG-G1), has already been profiled in connection with her win in the Gran Premio de Potrancas (ARG-G1) (see “Mares on Monday: A Charming Contender for a Pellegrini Award," June 1, 2025) and may well have sealed the two-year-old filly championship. Now a Group 1 winner on dirt and turf, her only misstep was a second-place finish in the Premio Eliseo Ramirez (ARG-G2), a half-length behind Tiz Joy.

Drive Joy, winner of the Gran Premio Estrellas Juvenile (ARG-G1), has less of a lock on his division, as he was soundly beaten into third last out in the Gran Criterium (ARG-G1). Nevertheless, he looked quite solid in his dirt debut after making his first four starts on turf, and he previously won the Premio Raul y Raul E. Chevalier (ARG-G2) on the grass in April. He also has a pedigree that suggests that he will be an intriguing Classic prospect to watch in the 2025/26 season for Argentine-3-year-olds, with an intriguing Canadian connection through his female family.

Drive Joy is by Grade 1-placed Fortify, a son of Distorted Humor who has finished six times among Argentina’s top five sires and is currently second on the 2025 general sire list. His firepower as a sire may be partly due to his wonderful female family, which is a branch of the fabulous La Troienne clan developed by Ogden Phipps and then by William S. Farish. Fortify’s male line, which traces back to Mr. Prospector through Forty Niner, includes the South American champion sires Roar (Argentina), Jules (Brazil), and Apprentice (Peru) as well as the important Argentine sire and broodmare sire Luhuk.

Drive Joy’s broodmare sire is another overachieving stallion, 2001 Hopeful Stakes (USA-G1) winner City Zip, a Carson City half brother to Ghostzapper who was noted for his versatility as a sire. But there is nothing overachieving about Drive Joy’s female family. Descended from 1973 Canadian champion 3-year-old filly Square Angel, this matriarchy has not previously had Group 1 success in Argentina, but it has accomplished plenty elsewhere in the world.

A strong-bodied daughter of 1964 Belmont Stakes winner Quadrangle, Square Angel was produced from one of E. P. Taylor’s foundation mares, Nangela, who could trace her tail-female line back to the great English race mare Pretty Polly. Square Angel was no Pretty Polly, but after being sold to General Preston Gilbride for CAN$20,000 as a yearling, she had enough talent to win the 1973 Canadian Oaks and three other Canadian stakes races. Taylor, knowing a good broodmare prospect when he saw one, repurchased her following her racing career and bred four stakes-winning daughters from her, three of whom went on to be Grade/Group 1 producers.

Pride of place among Square Angel’s daughters surely belongs to Kamar (by Key to the Mint), who followed in her dam’s hoof prints by winning the 1979 Canadian Oaks and a Sovereign Award as Canadian champion 3-year-old filly. She was still better as a producer, earning honors as the 1990 Kentucky Broodmare of the Year after foaling 1984 Canadian champion 3-year-old male Key to the Moon (by Wajima), multiple Grade 1 winner Gorgeous (by Slew o’ Gold), 1990 Kentucky Oaks (USA-G1) winner Seaside Attraction (by Seattle Slew), and 1986 Princess Margaret Stakes (ENG-G3) winner Hiaam (by Alydar). All three of Kamar’s stakes-winning daughters have had importance as broodmares, and their descendants have taken Grade/Group 1 races in England, France, and the United Stakes.

Kamar’s 1989 Nijinsky II filly, Jood, was much less accomplished as a racer, posting two thirds while racing in England, but she more than made up for that in the paddocks by producing 2001 European Horse of the Year Fantastic Light (by Rahy) and listed stakes winner Hi Dubai (by Rahy). Jood’s daughters have successfully transplanted Kamar’s family into the Southern Hemisphere. Drive Joy is the only foal of Hi Dubai’s French-bred daughter Zip Drive (by City Zip), but Jood is also the dam of Wanice (by Mr. Prospector), dam of multiple Argentine listed winner Anees (by Harlan’s Holiday) and second dam of 2013 B.T.C. Cup Stakes (AUS-G1) winner Your Song (by Fastnet Rock). In addition, Jood is the dam of Daanet al Dunya (by Rahy), dam of 2015 Pago Pago Stakes (AUS-G2) winner Tarquin (by Hard Spun) and second dam of multiple Australian Group 2 winner Character.

Just how much distance Drive Joy will want may be open to some question, but he is obviously fully capable at a mile, and Kamar’s family has repeatedly shown the ability to go classic distances. He will be one to keep an eye on as the foals of the 2022 Argentine crop moves toward their country’s Classics.


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    I'm Avalyn Hunter, an author, pedigree researcher and longtime racing fan with a particular interest in Thoroughbred mares and their contributions to the history of the breed.

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